Al-Nahda vs Sur prediction and preview

19 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.40Market probability 67%Final score 5–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Al-Nahda host Sur in the Professional League (Oman) on 19 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Al-Nahda 5–1 Sur.

Going into the match, Al-Nahda had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 10. Sur had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 23 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Al-Nahda's last 10 and 7 of Sur's last 10; 3 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al-Nahda averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Sur averaged 1.43 scored and 1.57 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.26 goals from Al-Nahda and 1.19 from Sur. From that it rates a home win at 61%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 18%, against 67%, 20% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Al-Nahda (green) and Sur (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form100% – 0%

Attack63% – 38%

Defence75% – 25%

Head-to-head93% – 7%

Goals67% – 33%

Overall strength74% – 25%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Al-Nahda	LWDDD	1.30	1.00	70%	30%
Sur	LWWLL	1.60	2.30	70%	80%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Over 1.5 Goals	76%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	72%	1.30
Al-Nahda Win	67%	1.33
Under 3.5 Goals	67%	1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	63%	1.50
Over 2.5 Goals	54%	1.73
BTTS No	52%	1.73
Under 2.5 Goals	46%	2.08

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.