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FA Cup · Oman
Al-Nahda vs Sohar prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al-Nahda host Sohar in the FA Cup (Oman) on 2 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Al-Nahda to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Al-Nahda 2–1 Sohar.
Going into the match, Al-Nahda had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 12. Sohar had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Al-Nahda's last 10 and 6 of Sohar's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al-Nahda averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Sohar averaged 1.57 scored and 1.14 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.06 goals from Al-Nahda and 0.95 from Sohar. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 16%, against 43%, 28% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 85%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Al-Nahda (green) and Sohar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 May 2026 · Al-Nahda 0–1 Sohar
- 17 Apr 2026 · Sohar 1–2 Al-Nahda
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.45 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Al-Nahda Win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.