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Premier League · Egypt
AL Masry vs Abu Qair Semad prediction and preview
19 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AL Masry host Abu Qair Semad in the Premier League (Egypt) on 19 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is AL Masry Win — AL Masry to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: AL Masry 1–1 Abu Qair Semad.
Going into the match, AL Masry had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Abu Qair Semad had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of AL Masry's last 10 and 2 of Abu Qair Semad's last 10; 3 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AL Masry averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Abu Qair Semad averaged 0.43 scored and 1.29 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.10 goals from AL Masry and 0.61 from Abu Qair Semad. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 19%, against 61%, 26% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 46%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between AL Masry (green) and Abu Qair Semad (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AL Masry | DWLLL | 1.10 | 0.90 | 30% | 30% |
| Abu Qair Semad | LDLLL | 0.80 | 1.10 | 20% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| AL Masry Win | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Enppi vs El Mokawloon · 19 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 0–3 - El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC · 19 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.25 · FT 0–2