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Iraqi League · Iraq
Al-Karma vs Al Karkh prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al-Karma host Al Karkh in the Iraqi League (Iraq) on 10 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Al-Karma Win — Al-Karma to win. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Al-Karma 3–2 Al Karkh.
Going into the match, Al-Karma had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 6. Al Karkh had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Al-Karma's last 10 and 5 of Al Karkh's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al-Karma averaged 1.70 goals scored and 0.40 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Al Karkh averaged 1.18 scored and 1.55 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.12 goals from Al-Karma and 0.95 from Al Karkh. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 15%, against 69%, 21% and 11% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Al-Karma (green) and Al Karkh (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Apr 2026 · Al Karkh 0–0 Al-Karma
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.34 |
| Al-Karma Win | 67% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.95 |
| Al-Karma HT & FT | 48% | 1.95 |
| 1-0 | 17% | 5.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.