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Premier League · Egypt
Al Ittihad vs El Gouna FC prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al Ittihad host El Gouna FC in the Premier League (Egypt) on 13 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Al Ittihad to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Al Ittihad 2–1 El Gouna FC.
Going into the match, Al Ittihad had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 7. El Gouna FC had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Al Ittihad's last 10 and 6 of El Gouna FC's last 10; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al Ittihad averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home El Gouna FC averaged 0.70 scored and 1.00 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.20 goals from Al Ittihad and 0.83 from El Gouna FC. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 24%, against 43%, 33% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Al Ittihad (green) and El Gouna FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ittihad | LWWWL | 1.20 | 0.70 | 20% | 30% |
| El Gouna FC | LLLLD | 0.80 | 1.20 | 60% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS No | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Al Ittihad Win | 42% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.70 |
| Al Ittihad HT & FT | 27% | 3.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.