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Pro League · Saudi Arabia
Al-Hazm vs NEOM prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:50 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al-Hazm host NEOM in the Pro League (Saudi Arabia) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:50 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Al-Hazm 1–1 NEOM.
Going into the match, Al-Hazm had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 13. NEOM had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Al-Hazm's last 10 and 4 of NEOM's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al-Hazm averaged 1.14 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home NEOM averaged 1.33 scored and 1.08 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.78 goals from Al-Hazm and 1.49 from NEOM. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 53%, against 23%, 25% and 52% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Al-Hazm (green) and NEOM (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 28 Apr 2026 · NEOM 1–1 Al-Hazm
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.