Al-Gharafa vs Al-Rayyan SC prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 66%Final score 0–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Al-Gharafa host Al-Rayyan SC in the Stars League (Qatar) on 18 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Al-Gharafa 0–0 Al-Rayyan SC.

Going into the match, Al-Gharafa had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 21. Al-Rayyan SC had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 9 of Al-Gharafa's last 10 and 7 of Al-Rayyan SC's last 10; 9 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al-Gharafa averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Al-Rayyan SC averaged 2.13 scored and 1.50 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.48 goals from Al-Gharafa and 1.86 from Al-Rayyan SC. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 46%, against 19%, 21% and 60% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Al-Gharafa (green) and Al-Rayyan SC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form24% – 76%

Attack38% – 63%

Defence15% – 85%

Head-to-head93% – 7%

Goals60% – 40%

Overall strength40% – 59%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Al-Gharafa	LLWLD	1.50	2.10	90%	90%
Al-Rayyan SC	LWDDW	2.10	1.30	70%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	76%	1.22
BTTS 1st Half - No	75%	1.25
Over 2.5 Goals	66%	1.44
BTTS Yes	63%	1.57
Al-Rayyan SC Win	60%	1.48
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	54%	1.73
Under 3.5 Goals	53%	1.73
Over 3.5 Goals	47%	2.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.