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Pro League · Saudi Arabia
Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:40 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al-Fayha host Al Riyadh in the Pro League (Saudi Arabia) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:40 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Al-Fayha to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Al-Fayha 1–1 Al Riyadh.
Going into the match, Al-Fayha had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Al Riyadh had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Al-Fayha's last 10 and 3 of Al Riyadh's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al-Fayha averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Al Riyadh averaged 1.56 scored and 2.33 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.33 goals from Al-Fayha and 1.34 from Al Riyadh. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 36%, against 43%, 27% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Al-Fayha (green) and Al Riyadh (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 4 May 2026 · Al-Fayha 4–2 Al Riyadh
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.