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Pro League · Saudi Arabia
Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah prediction and preview
19 Oct 2026, 15:05 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al-Fayha host Al-Ahli Jeddah in the Pro League (Saudi Arabia) on 19 Oct 2026, 15:05 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Al-Fayha 2–3 Al-Ahli Jeddah.
Going into the match, Al-Fayha had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 14. Al-Ahli Jeddah had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Al-Fayha's last 10 and 6 of Al-Ahli Jeddah's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al-Fayha averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Al-Ahli Jeddah averaged 1.63 scored and 1.69 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.99 goals from Al-Fayha and 2.49 from Al-Ahli Jeddah. From that it rates a home win at 12%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 69%, against 13%, 20% and 67% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Al-Fayha (green) and Al-Ahli Jeddah (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Fayha | LDDLD | 1.00 | 1.40 | 50% | 50% |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | WWLDW | 2.10 | 1.40 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Apr 2026 · Al-Fayha 1–1 Al-Ahli Jeddah
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah Win | 69% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Pro League matches that day
- Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Hazm · 19 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Pro League
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.53 · FT 1–0 - Al Shabab vs Al-Faisaly FC · 19 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Pro League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 2–2 - Abha vs Al Kholood · 19 Oct 2026, 15:20 UTC · Pro League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67