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Pro League · Saudi Arabia
Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab prediction and preview
22 Oct 2026, 14:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al-Fateh host Al Shabab in the Pro League (Saudi Arabia) on 22 Oct 2026, 14:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Al-Fateh 1–3 Al Shabab.
Going into the match, Al-Fateh had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 20. Al Shabab had won 1, drawn 6 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Al-Fateh's last 10 and 6 of Al Shabab's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al-Fateh averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Al Shabab averaged 0.88 scored and 1.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.02 goals from Al-Fateh and 1.89 from Al Shabab. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 57%, against 31%, 25% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Al-Fateh (green) and Al Shabab (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 28 Apr 2026 · Al Shabab 1–1 Al-Fateh
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| Al Shabab Win | 44% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Pro League matches that day
- Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat · 22 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Pro League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.48 - Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha · 22 Oct 2026, 13:40 UTC · Pro League
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.30 · FT 2–2