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Pro League · Saudi Arabia
Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 14:55 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al-Fateh host Al-Ahli Jeddah in the Pro League (Saudi Arabia) on 9 Oct 2026, 14:55 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Al-Ahli Jeddah Win — Al-Ahli Jeddah to win. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Al-Fateh 0–4 Al-Ahli Jeddah.
Going into the match, Al-Fateh had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 17. Al-Ahli Jeddah had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Al-Fateh's last 10 and 6 of Al-Ahli Jeddah's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al-Fateh averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Al-Ahli Jeddah averaged 1.36 scored and 1.86 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.92 goals from Al-Fateh and 2.68 from Al-Ahli Jeddah. From that it rates a home win at 10%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 74%, against 16%, 21% and 63% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Al-Fateh (green) and Al-Ahli Jeddah (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Fateh | LLDDD | 0.40 | 1.70 | 30% | 50% |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | LDWLW | 2.00 | 1.40 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 6 May 2026 · Al-Ahli Jeddah 3–1 Al-Fateh
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 81% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah Win | 65% | 1.42 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.