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AGCFF Gulf Champions League · International
Al-Duhail SC vs Al-Shabab prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 14:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al-Duhail SC host Al-Shabab in the AGCFF Gulf Champions League (International) on 14 Oct 2026, 14:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Al-Duhail SC 3–0 Al-Shabab.
Going into the match, Al-Duhail SC had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 9. Al-Shabab had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Al-Duhail SC's last 10 and 5 of Al-Shabab's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al-Duhail SC averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Al-Shabab averaged 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.01 goals from Al-Duhail SC and 0.81 from Al-Shabab. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 13%, against 72%, 17% and 11% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Duhail SC | WWWDD | 2.10 | 0.90 | 60% | 50% |
| Al-Shabab | WWWLW | 1.40 | 1.10 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Al-Duhail SC Win | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 61% | 1.50 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.