Home › League stats › Stars League › Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya
Stars League · Qatar
Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al Ahli Doha host Al-Sailiya in the Stars League (Qatar) on 10 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Al Ahli Doha 5–0 Al-Sailiya.
Going into the match, Al Ahli Doha had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 23. Al-Sailiya had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 25 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Al Ahli Doha's last 10 and 6 of Al-Sailiya's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al Ahli Doha averaged 1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Al-Sailiya averaged 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.46 goals from Al Ahli Doha and 1.27 from Al-Sailiya. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 18%, against 57%, 23% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Al Ahli Doha (green) and Al-Sailiya (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahli Doha | DLLWD | 1.30 | 2.30 | 60% | 70% |
| Al-Sailiya | DLLLL | 1.00 | 2.50 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Al Ahli Doha Win | 58% | 1.55 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.