Al Ahed vs Reyady Abaseya prediction and preview

23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Al Ahed WinOdds 1.40Market probability 64%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Al Ahed host Reyady Abaseya in the Premier League (Lebanon) on 23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Al Ahed Win — Al Ahed to win. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Al Ahed had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 16. Reyady Abaseya had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Al Ahed's last 10 and 5 of Reyady Abaseya's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al Ahed averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Reyady Abaseya averaged 0.75 scored and 1.50 conceded across 4.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.11 goals from Al Ahed and 0.87 from Reyady Abaseya. From that it rates a home win at 65%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 14%, against 64%, 21% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Al Ahed (green) and Reyady Abaseya (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form100% – 0%

Attack60% – 40%

Defence67% – 33%

Head-to-head75% – 25%

Goals78% – 22%

Overall strength70% – 30%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Al Ahed	DWDDL	1.40	1.60	70%	40%
Reyady Abaseya	LLWWD	1.40	1.40	50%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Al Ahed Win	64%	1.40
Over 2.5 Goals	56%	1.67
Al Ahed HT & FT	45%	2.05
Under 2.5 Goals	44%	2.15
2-0	13%	7.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.