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Premier League · Lebanon
Al Ahed vs Al Mabarrah prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al Ahed host Al Mabarrah in the Premier League (Lebanon) on 13 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Al Ahed to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Al Ahed 1–0 Al Mabarrah.
Going into the match, Al Ahed had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 19. Al Mabarrah had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 7, with 4 scored and 24 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Al Ahed's last 10 and 2 of Al Mabarrah's last 7; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al Ahed averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Al Mabarrah averaged 0.67 scored and 2.83 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.03 goals from Al Ahed and 0.52 from Al Mabarrah. From that it rates a home win at 86%, a draw at 11% and an away win at 3%. For the published pick itself the model gives 97%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Al Ahed (green) and Al Mabarrah (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahed | DDLDL | 1.70 | 1.90 | 80% | 60% |
| Al Mabarrah | LLLLL | 0.57 | 3.43 | 29% | 71% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.