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Second League - Group 4 · Russia
Akron II vs Dinamo Barnaul prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Akron II host Dinamo Barnaul in the Second League - Group 4 (Russia) on 4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.58, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Akron II 2–0 Dinamo Barnaul.
Going into the match, Akron II had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 12. Dinamo Barnaul had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Akron II's last 10 and 6 of Dinamo Barnaul's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Akron II averaged 2.50 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Dinamo Barnaul averaged 1.46 scored and 2.46 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.64 goals from Akron II and 1.24 from Dinamo Barnaul. From that it rates a home win at 67%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 15%, against 46%, 23% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Akron II (green) and Dinamo Barnaul (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron II | LWWDL | 2.40 | 1.20 | 60% | 60% |
| Dinamo Barnaul | DWLLD | 1.70 | 1.40 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 6 Sep 2026 · Dinamo Barnaul 1–1 Akron II
- 23 Aug 2026 · Dinamo Barnaul 3–1 Akron II
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.58 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.58 |
| Akron II Win | 46% | 2.09 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 40% | 2.34 |
| 2-1 | 9% | 10.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.