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Cup · Russia
Akhmat vs Dynamo prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Akhmat host Dynamo in the Cup (Russia) on 14 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.63, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Akhmat 1–2 Dynamo.
Going into the match, Akhmat had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 14. Dynamo had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Akhmat's last 10 and 3 of Dynamo's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Akhmat averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Dynamo averaged 1.25 scored and 0.83 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.89 goals from Akhmat and 1.35 from Dynamo. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 46%, against 34%, 28% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Akhmat (green) and Dynamo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 Sep 2026 · Dynamo 3–0 Akhmat
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.24 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.63 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 55% | 1.69 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.