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Premier League · Russia
Akhmat vs Baltika prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Akhmat host Baltika in the Premier League (Russia) on 11 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.35, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Akhmat 0–0 Baltika.
Going into the match, Akhmat had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 15. Baltika had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Akhmat's last 10 and 5 of Baltika's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Akhmat averaged 2.18 goals scored and 1.09 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Baltika averaged 2.00 scored and 0.83 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.92 goals from Akhmat and 1.14 from Baltika. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 39%, against 37%, 30% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Akhmat (green) and Baltika (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 Apr 2026 · Akhmat 1–1 Baltika
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.35 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.73 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.69 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.86 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.