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Eredivisie Women · Netherlands
Ajax W vs PSV/Eindhoven W prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 10:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ajax W host PSV/Eindhoven W in the Eredivisie Women (Netherlands) on 18 Oct 2026, 10:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.56, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Ajax W had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 10. PSV/Eindhoven W had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Ajax W's last 10 and 3 of PSV/Eindhoven W's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ajax W averaged 2.90 goals scored and 0.60 conceded across 10 matches; away from home PSV/Eindhoven W averaged 2.00 scored and 0.89 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.32 goals from Ajax W and 1.27 from PSV/Eindhoven W. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 34%, against 37%, 26% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ajax W (green) and PSV/Eindhoven W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax W | LWWWL | 2.50 | 1.00 | 40% | 50% |
| PSV/Eindhoven W | DWWLL | 1.60 | 1.00 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.49 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.56 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.08 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.