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League One · Scotland
Airdrie United vs Montrose prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Airdrie United host Montrose in the League One (Scotland) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Airdrie United 1–0 Montrose.
Going into the match, Airdrie United had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 15. Montrose had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Airdrie United's last 10 and 6 of Montrose's last 10; 7 and 10 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Airdrie United averaged 1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Montrose averaged 1.55 scored and 1.55 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.37 goals from Airdrie United and 1.11 from Montrose. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 29%, against 51%, 24% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Airdrie United (green) and Montrose (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Airdrie United | WWWWW | 2.00 | 1.50 | 60% | 70% |
| Montrose | LLWWW | 2.10 | 1.30 | 60% | 100% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Airdrie United Win | 51% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.