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Premier League · Wales
Airbus UK vs Trefelin prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Airbus UK host Trefelin in the Premier League (Wales) on 3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Airbus UK Win — Airbus UK to win. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Airbus UK 3–0 Trefelin.
Going into the match, Airbus UK had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 17. Trefelin had won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 25 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Airbus UK's last 10 and 5 of Trefelin's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Airbus UK averaged 2.50 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Trefelin averaged 1.25 scored and 3.00 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.28 goals from Airbus UK and 0.77 from Trefelin. From that it rates a home win at 84%, a draw at 11% and an away win at 5%, against 66%, 20% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Airbus UK (green) and Trefelin (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Airbus UK Win | 66% | 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 61% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.