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Allsvenskan · Sweden
AIK Stockholm vs IFK Goteborg prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AIK Stockholm host IFK Goteborg in the Allsvenskan (Sweden) on 17 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: AIK Stockholm 2–2 IFK Goteborg.
Going into the match, AIK Stockholm had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 22. IFK Goteborg had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of AIK Stockholm's last 10 and 5 of IFK Goteborg's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AIK Stockholm averaged 1.50 goals scored and 2.33 conceded across 12 matches; away from home IFK Goteborg averaged 1.77 scored and 2.08 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.78 goals from AIK Stockholm and 1.72 from IFK Goteborg. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 37%, against 36%, 26% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between AIK Stockholm (green) and IFK Goteborg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK Stockholm | LLDLD | 2.10 | 2.20 | 70% | 80% |
| IFK Goteborg | WWWWW | 1.90 | 0.90 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 5 Jul 2026 · IFK Goteborg 1–2 AIK Stockholm
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.