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Persha Liga · Ukraine
Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs UCSA prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ahrobiznes Volochysk host UCSA in the Persha Liga (Ukraine) on 4 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.75, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3–2 UCSA.
Going into the match, Ahrobiznes Volochysk had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 10. UCSA had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Ahrobiznes Volochysk's last 10 and 5 of UCSA's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ahrobiznes Volochysk averaged 1.45 goals scored and 0.73 conceded across 11 matches; away from home UCSA averaged 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.94 goals from Ahrobiznes Volochysk and 0.82 from UCSA. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 14%, against 50%, 26% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ahrobiznes Volochysk (green) and UCSA (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahrobiznes Volochysk | DWLDW | 1.90 | 1.00 | 40% | 50% |
| UCSA | DLWLL | 1.20 | 1.70 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Apr 2026 · UCSA 2–1 Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.82 |
| Ahrobiznes Volochysk Win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Ahrobiznes Volochysk HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.