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Division 2 - Norra Götaland · Sweden
Ahlafors vs Motala prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ahlafors host Motala in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Sweden) on 4 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Ahlafors to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ahlafors 6–2 Motala.
Going into the match, Ahlafors had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 9. Motala had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Ahlafors's last 10 and 6 of Motala's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ahlafors averaged 2.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Motala averaged 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.39 goals from Ahlafors and 1.10 from Motala. From that it rates a home win at 80%, a draw at 12% and an away win at 8%, against 52%, 23% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 92%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ahlafors (green) and Motala (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Apr 2026 · Motala 3–2 Ahlafors
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.