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Primera A · Colombia
Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Águilas Doradas host Jaguares in the Primera A (Colombia) on 3 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Águilas Doradas 2–0 Jaguares.
Going into the match, Águilas Doradas had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 15. Jaguares had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Águilas Doradas's last 10 and 6 of Jaguares's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Águilas Doradas averaged 1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Jaguares averaged 0.86 scored and 1.57 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.05 goals from Águilas Doradas and 1.09 from Jaguares. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 19%, against 63%, 22% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Águilas Doradas (green) and Jaguares (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Águilas Doradas | LLDLD | 1.20 | 1.50 | 70% | 50% |
| Jaguares | LLDDD | 1.10 | 1.80 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 May 2026 · Águilas Doradas 0–0 Jaguares
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Águilas Doradas Win | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.