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Primera Division · El Salvador
Águila vs Isidro Metapán prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Águila host Isidro Metapán in the Primera Division (El Salvador) on 11 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Águila to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Águila 3–0 Isidro Metapán.
Going into the match, Águila had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 13. Isidro Metapán had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Águila's last 10 and 5 of Isidro Metapán's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Águila averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Isidro Metapán averaged 1.18 scored and 1.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.67 goals from Águila and 1.15 from Isidro Metapán. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 25%, against 44%, 28% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Águila (green) and Isidro Metapán (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Águila | WWLWW | 1.80 | 1.30 | 60% | 60% |
| Isidro Metapán | WWDWW | 1.40 | 1.00 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Aug 2026 · Isidro Metapán 2–1 Águila
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.41 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Águila Win | 41% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.