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Primera Division · El Salvador
Águila vs Cacahuatique prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Águila host Cacahuatique in the Primera Division (El Salvador) on 3 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Águila Win — Águila to win. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Águila 4–1 Cacahuatique.
Going into the match, Águila had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 14. Cacahuatique had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Águila's last 10 and 3 of Cacahuatique's last 10; 6 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Águila averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.46 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Cacahuatique averaged 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.97 goals from Águila and 0.84 from Cacahuatique. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 14%, against 58%, 24% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Águila (green) and Cacahuatique (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Águila | WLWWD | 1.50 | 1.40 | 60% | 60% |
| Cacahuatique | WLDLL | 0.50 | 1.20 | 30% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 Aug 2026 · Cacahuatique 2–2 Águila
- 27 Apr 2026 · Cacahuatique 0–0 Águila
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Águila Win | 58% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.77 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Águila HT & FT | 39% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.