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Serie D - Girone G · Italy
Afragolese vs Ossese prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Afragolese host Ossese in the Serie D - Girone G (Italy) on 4 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Afragolese to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Afragolese 0–2 Ossese.
Going into the match, Afragolese had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 14. Ossese had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with 7 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Afragolese's last 9 and 2 of Ossese's last 5; 3 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Afragolese averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Ossese averaged 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.95 goals from Afragolese and 1.30 from Ossese. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 43%. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Afragolese (green) and Ossese (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afragolese | LWDDD | 0.67 | 1.56 | 22% | 33% |
| Ossese | DLDWW | 1.40 | 1.00 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.