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National League Cup · England
AFC Hornchurch vs Fulham U21 prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AFC Hornchurch host Fulham U21 in the National League Cup (England) on 6 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — AFC Hornchurch to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: AFC Hornchurch 1–1 Fulham U21.
Going into the match, AFC Hornchurch had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 14. Fulham U21 had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 24 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of AFC Hornchurch's last 10 and 8 of Fulham U21's last 10; 6 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AFC Hornchurch averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 18 matches; away from home Fulham U21 averaged 2.17 scored and 2.17 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.47 goals from AFC Hornchurch and 1.48 from Fulham U21. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 21%, against 46%, 23% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between AFC Hornchurch (green) and Fulham U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Hornchurch | LWLWL | 1.00 | 1.40 | 20% | 60% |
| Fulham U21 | LLDLW | 2.20 | 2.40 | 80% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 70% | 1.32 |
| Double Chance 1X | 70% | 1.30 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.34 |
| AFC Hornchurch Win | 46% | 1.95 |
| AFC Hornchurch HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
| 1-1 | 10% | 9.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.