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National League · England
AFC Hornchurch vs Eastleigh prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AFC Hornchurch host Eastleigh in the National League (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: AFC Hornchurch 2–0 Eastleigh.
Going into the match, AFC Hornchurch had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 15. Eastleigh had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of AFC Hornchurch's last 10 and 8 of Eastleigh's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AFC Hornchurch averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.68 conceded across 19 matches; away from home Eastleigh averaged 0.70 scored and 1.60 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.86 goals from AFC Hornchurch and 0.76 from Eastleigh. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 14%, against 45%, 26% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between AFC Hornchurch (green) and Eastleigh (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Hornchurch | DLWLW | 1.00 | 1.50 | 30% | 60% |
| Eastleigh | LDLWL | 1.20 | 1.60 | 80% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.