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Ettan - Norra · Sweden
AFC Eskilstuna vs Stockholm Internazionale prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AFC Eskilstuna host Stockholm Internazionale in the Ettan - Norra (Sweden) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: AFC Eskilstuna 1–3 Stockholm Internazionale.
Going into the match, AFC Eskilstuna had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 12. Stockholm Internazionale had won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 28 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of AFC Eskilstuna's last 10 and 3 of Stockholm Internazionale's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AFC Eskilstuna averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Stockholm Internazionale averaged 2.25 scored and 0.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.20 goals from AFC Eskilstuna and 1.88 from Stockholm Internazionale. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 52%, against 20%, 23% and 56% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between AFC Eskilstuna (green) and Stockholm Internazionale (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Eskilstuna | DWLWW | 2.30 | 1.20 | 60% | 70% |
| Stockholm Internazionale | WWWWW | 2.80 | 0.70 | 30% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 May 2026 · Stockholm Internazionale 0–2 AFC Eskilstuna
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 79% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Stockholm Internazionale Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.