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Tweede Divisie · Netherlands
AFC Amsterdam vs Hoek prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AFC Amsterdam host Hoek in the Tweede Divisie (Netherlands) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: AFC Amsterdam 2–0 Hoek.
Going into the match, AFC Amsterdam had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 15. Hoek had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of AFC Amsterdam's last 10 and 8 of Hoek's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AFC Amsterdam averaged 1.57 goals scored and 2.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Hoek averaged 1.71 scored and 2.00 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.73 goals from AFC Amsterdam and 1.18 from Hoek. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 25%, against 33%, 24% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between AFC Amsterdam (green) and Hoek (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Amsterdam | LLWWD | 2.00 | 1.50 | 60% | 70% |
| Hoek | WLDDL | 1.40 | 1.70 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Apr 2026 · AFC Amsterdam 1–5 Hoek
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.26 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.48 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Hoek Win | 42% | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.