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Tweede Divisie · Netherlands
AFC Amsterdam vs Almere City II prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 13:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AFC Amsterdam host Almere City II in the Tweede Divisie (Netherlands) on 24 Oct 2026, 13:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, AFC Amsterdam had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 14. Almere City II had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of AFC Amsterdam's last 10 and 8 of Almere City II's last 10; 6 and 10 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AFC Amsterdam averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Almere City II averaged 1.75 scored and 1.75 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.35 goals from AFC Amsterdam and 2.01 from Almere City II. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 33%, against 44%, 23% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between AFC Amsterdam (green) and Almere City II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Amsterdam | LWLLW | 1.90 | 1.40 | 50% | 60% |
| Almere City II | LWWLD | 2.10 | 2.10 | 80% | 100% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 70% | 1.32 |
| Double Chance 1X | 68% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| AFC Amsterdam Win | 43% | 2.05 |
| AFC Amsterdam HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Tweede Divisie matches that day
- Ijsselmeervogels vs Spakenburg · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Tweede Divisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - Kloetinge vs Katwijk · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Tweede Divisie
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Kozakken Boys vs Barendrecht · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Tweede Divisie
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Quick Boys vs Hoek · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Tweede Divisie
Published pick: Quick Boys Win @ 1.44 - ROHDA Raalte vs HHC · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Tweede Divisie
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 - GVVV Veenendaal vs Koninklijke HFC · 24 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Tweede Divisie
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Rijnsburgse Boys vs RKAV Volendam · 24 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Tweede Divisie
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22