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Welsh Cup · Wales
Afan Lido vs Penybont prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Afan Lido host Penybont in the Welsh Cup (Wales) on 18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Penybont to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Afan Lido 2–3 Penybont.
Going into the match, Afan Lido had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 17. Penybont had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Afan Lido's last 10 and 7 of Penybont's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Afan Lido averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Penybont averaged 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.24 goals from Afan Lido and 2.44 from Penybont. From that it rates a home win at 17%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 63%. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Afan Lido (green) and Penybont (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.