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Superliga · Albania
AF Elbasani vs Vora prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AF Elbasani host Vora in the Superliga (Albania) on 10 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is AF Elbasani Win — AF Elbasani to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: AF Elbasani 1–1 Vora.
Going into the match, AF Elbasani had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 10. Vora had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of AF Elbasani's last 10 and 5 of Vora's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AF Elbasani averaged 1.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Vora averaged 1.00 scored and 1.89 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.74 goals from AF Elbasani and 1.54 from Vora. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 33%, against 60%, 24% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 42%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AF Elbasani | DWLDD | 1.50 | 1.00 | 80% | 60% |
| Vora | WDLLL | 0.90 | 2.10 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 May 2026 · Vora 4–2 AF Elbasani
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.27 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.46 |
| AF Elbasani Win | 58% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| AF Elbasani HT & FT | 39% | 2.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.