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1. Division · Cyprus
AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AEL host Omonia 29is Maiou in the 1. Division (Cyprus) on 11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: AEL 2–1 Omonia 29is Maiou.
Going into the match, AEL had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 14. Omonia 29is Maiou had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 7, with 19 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of AEL's last 10 and 6 of Omonia 29is Maiou's last 7; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AEL averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Omonia 29is Maiou averaged 2.75 scored and 2.50 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.89 goals from AEL and 1.34 from Omonia 29is Maiou. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 26%, against 59%, 24% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between AEL (green) and Omonia 29is Maiou (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEL | WWLWW | 1.50 | 1.40 | 50% | 50% |
| Omonia 29is Maiou | LLDDW | 2.71 | 2.14 | 86% | 100% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| AEL Win | 58% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.