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Friendlies Clubs · International
AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AEK Larnaca host Apollon Limassol in the Friendlies Clubs (International) on 3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Apollon Limassol to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: AEK Larnaca 3–0 Apollon Limassol.
Going into the match, AEK Larnaca had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 10. Apollon Limassol had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of AEK Larnaca's last 10 and 4 of Apollon Limassol's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AEK Larnaca averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Apollon Limassol averaged 1.45 scored and 1.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.53 goals from AEK Larnaca and 1.38 from Apollon Limassol. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 33%, against 44%, 26% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between AEK Larnaca (green) and Apollon Limassol (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Larnaca | WWLWW | 1.40 | 1.00 | 50% | 50% |
| Apollon Limassol | DDWDL | 1.90 | 0.70 | 40% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 Jul 2026 · Apollon Limassol 0–0 AEK Larnaca
- 6 May 2026 · AEK Larnaca 1–0 Apollon Limassol