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Cup · Cyprus
AEK Larnaca vs Akritas prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AEK Larnaca host Akritas in the Cup (Cyprus) on 21 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.37, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: AEK Larnaca 2–2 Akritas.
Going into the match, AEK Larnaca had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 9. Akritas had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of AEK Larnaca's last 10 and 6 of Akritas's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AEK Larnaca averaged 1.27 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Akritas averaged 1.33 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.09 goals from AEK Larnaca and 0.72 from Akritas. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 11%, against 88%, 7% and 4% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between AEK Larnaca (green) and Akritas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Larnaca | DWWWW | 1.90 | 0.90 | 60% | 60% |
| Akritas | DLDLW | 1.10 | 1.20 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| AEK Larnaca HT & FT | 72% | 1.33 |
| AEK Larnaca 1st Half Win | 71% | 1.28 |
| BTTS No | 66% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.79 |
| 3-0 | 16% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Cup matches that day
- Nea Salamis vs APEA · 21 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 4–0