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Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC vs Panetolikos prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AEK Athens FC host Panetolikos in the Super League 1 (Greece) on 24 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, AEK Athens FC had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 12. Panetolikos had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of AEK Athens FC's last 10 and 5 of Panetolikos's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AEK Athens FC averaged 3.14 goals scored and 0.57 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Panetolikos averaged 1.09 scored and 1.55 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.78 goals from AEK Athens FC and 0.55 from Panetolikos. From that it rates a home win at 83%, a draw at 13% and an away win at 4%, against 83%, 12% and 5% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between AEK Athens FC (green) and Panetolikos (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens FC | LLWWW | 2.50 | 1.20 | 60% | 60% |
| Panetolikos | LLLLW | 1.20 | 1.80 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| AEK Athens FC 1st Half Win | 64% | 1.44 |
| AEK Athens FC HT & FT | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 53% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Super League 1 matches that day
- Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos · 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Super League 1
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25 - Iraklis 1908 vs Kifisia · 24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Super League 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36