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Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC vs OFI prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AEK Athens FC host OFI in the Super League 1 (Greece) on 10 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: AEK Athens FC 3–0 OFI.
Going into the match, AEK Athens FC had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 28 and conceding 4. OFI had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 4 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of AEK Athens FC's last 10 and 2 of OFI's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AEK Athens FC averaged 3.15 goals scored and 0.62 conceded across 13 matches; away from home OFI averaged 1.27 scored and 1.91 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.32 goals from AEK Athens FC and 0.75 from OFI. From that it rates a home win at 72%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 10%, against 75%, 16% and 9% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between AEK Athens FC (green) and OFI (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens FC | WWDWW | 2.80 | 0.40 | 40% | 50% |
| OFI | DWWWW | 1.80 | 0.40 | 20% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Aug 2026 · AEK Athens FC 2–2 OFI
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens FC Win | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| AEK Athens FC 1st Half Win | 57% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| AEK Athens FC HT & FT | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.