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Primera División · Peru
ADT vs FC Cajamarca prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
ADT host FC Cajamarca in the Primera División (Peru) on 10 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: ADT 0–0 FC Cajamarca.
Going into the match, ADT had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 22. FC Cajamarca had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 24 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of ADT's last 10 and 9 of FC Cajamarca's last 10; 5 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home ADT averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 13 matches; away from home FC Cajamarca averaged 1.67 scored and 1.67 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.60 goals from ADT and 1.41 from FC Cajamarca. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 33%, against 54%, 25% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between ADT (green) and FC Cajamarca (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADT | LLWLL | 0.80 | 2.20 | 50% | 50% |
| FC Cajamarca | LWLWL | 1.80 | 2.40 | 90% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Apr 2026 · FC Cajamarca 2–2 ADT
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.