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Liga de Ascenso · Costa Rica
AD Carmelita vs Guadalupe FC prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AD Carmelita host Guadalupe FC in the Liga de Ascenso (Costa Rica) on 10 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.64, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: AD Carmelita 0–2 Guadalupe FC.
Going into the match, AD Carmelita had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 11. Guadalupe FC had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of AD Carmelita's last 10 and 6 of Guadalupe FC's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AD Carmelita averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Guadalupe FC averaged 1.57 scored and 2.71 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.13 goals from AD Carmelita and 1.09 from Guadalupe FC. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 18%, against 51%, 25% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between AD Carmelita (green) and Guadalupe FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AD Carmelita | WWWDL | 1.90 | 1.10 | 60% | 60% |
| Guadalupe FC | WDLLL | 1.30 | 1.90 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Aug 2026 · Guadalupe FC 0–1 AD Carmelita
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.42 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.64 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| AD Carmelita Win | 49% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| AD Carmelita HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.