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EFL Trophy · England
Accrington ST vs Salford City prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Accrington ST host Salford City in the EFL Trophy (England) on 6 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Accrington ST 1–1 Salford City.
Going into the match, Accrington ST had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 17. Salford City had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Accrington ST's last 10 and 5 of Salford City's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Accrington ST averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Salford City averaged 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.69 goals from Accrington ST and 1.51 from Salford City. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 33%, against 26%, 26% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Accrington ST (green) and Salford City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accrington ST | WDDDL | 1.60 | 1.70 | 70% | 60% |
| Salford City | WWLWD | 1.40 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance X2 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.