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Primera Nacional · Argentina
Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Acassuso host Ciudad de Bolívar in the Primera Nacional (Argentina) on 3 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Acassuso to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Acassuso 0–1 Ciudad de Bolívar.
Going into the match, Acassuso had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 11. Ciudad de Bolívar had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Acassuso's last 10 and 4 of Ciudad de Bolívar's last 10; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Acassuso averaged 0.62 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Ciudad de Bolívar averaged 0.64 scored and 1.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.96 goals from Acassuso and 0.71 from Ciudad de Bolívar. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 37% and an away win at 25%, against 41%, 32% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Acassuso (green) and Ciudad de Bolívar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acassuso | WWLLD | 0.70 | 1.10 | 40% | 20% |
| Ciudad de Bolívar | WLDLW | 0.70 | 1.20 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 May 2026 · Ciudad de Bolívar 1–0 Acassuso
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.30 |
| BTTS No | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 42% | 2.20 |
| Acassuso Win | 41% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.