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Liga Premier Serie A · Mexico
Acambaro vs Ciervos prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Acambaro host Ciervos in the Liga Premier Serie A (Mexico) on 11 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.74, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Acambaro 5–2 Ciervos.
Going into the match, Acambaro had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 6 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 8. Ciervos had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 7, with 4 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Acambaro's last 6 and 2 of Ciervos's last 7; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Acambaro averaged 3.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Ciervos averaged 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 5.19 goals from Acambaro and 0.77 from Ciervos. From that it rates a home win at 96%, a draw at 3% and an away win at 1%, against 88%, 9% and 3% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Acambaro (green) and Ciervos (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 7 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.27 |
| Acambaro HT & FT | 64% | 1.50 |
| Acambaro 1st Half Win | 64% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.74 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.