AC Milan W vs Ternana W prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 66%Final score 3–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

AC Milan W host Ternana W in the Serie A Women (Italy) on 24 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: AC Milan W 3–0 Ternana W.

Going into the match, AC Milan W had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 15. Ternana W had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 16 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of AC Milan W's last 10 and 4 of Ternana W's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AC Milan W averaged 1.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Ternana W averaged 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded across 5.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.11 goals from AC Milan W and 0.84 from Ternana W. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 13%, against 62%, 22% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between AC Milan W (green) and Ternana W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form33% – 67%

Attack56% – 44%

Defence25% – 75%

Head-to-head67% – 33%

Goals71% – 29%

Overall strength49% – 50%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
AC Milan W	LWLLW	1.10	1.50	60%	50%
Ternana W	WWLLL	0.80	1.60	40%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

17 May 2026 · Ternana W 1–0 AC Milan W

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	77%	1.20
Over 1.5 Goals	77%	1.20
BTTS 1st Half - No	77%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	73%	1.28
Under 3.5 Goals	66%	1.44
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	61%	1.53
AC Milan W Win	59%	1.44
BTTS Yes	55%	1.73

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.