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Serie A Women · Italy
AC Milan W vs Juventus W prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AC Milan W host Juventus W in the Serie A Women (Italy) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: AC Milan W 2–1 Juventus W.
Going into the match, AC Milan W had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 8 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Juventus W had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of AC Milan W's last 8 and 4 of Juventus W's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AC Milan W averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Juventus W averaged 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.20 goals from AC Milan W and 2.04 from Juventus W. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 56%, against 20%, 24% and 56% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between AC Milan W (green) and Juventus W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan W | LLWDL | 0.88 | 1.25 | 50% | 38% |
| Juventus W | WWLDW | 1.80 | 0.60 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 6 Sep 2026 · Juventus W 1–0 AC Milan W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Juventus W Win | 56% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.