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Premier League · Egypt
Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Abu Qair Semad host Ghazl El Mehalla in the Premier League (Egypt) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Abu Qair Semad had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 12. Ghazl El Mehalla had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Abu Qair Semad's last 10 and 4 of Ghazl El Mehalla's last 10; 2 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Abu Qair Semad averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Ghazl El Mehalla averaged 0.88 scored and 1.50 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.98 goals from Abu Qair Semad and 0.98 from Ghazl El Mehalla. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 33%, against 31%, 34% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abu Qair Semad | DLDLL | 0.80 | 1.20 | 30% | 20% |
| Ghazl El Mehalla | WLDLL | 0.80 | 1.40 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Oct 2026 · Ghazl El Mehalla 1–1 Abu Qair Semad
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance X2 | 68% | 1.33 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.53 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Ceramica Cleopatra vs Masr · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Petrojet vs Smouha SC · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.50