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Premier League · Egypt
Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Abu Qair Semad host Asyut Petrol in the Premier League (Egypt) on 13 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Abu Qair Semad 1–2 Asyut Petrol.
Going into the match, Abu Qair Semad had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Asyut Petrol had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Abu Qair Semad's last 10 and 3 of Asyut Petrol's last 10; 1 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Abu Qair Semad averaged 1.40 goals scored and 0.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Asyut Petrol averaged 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.92 goals from Abu Qair Semad and 0.66 from Asyut Petrol. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 38% and an away win at 24%, against 44%, 32% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Abu Qair Semad (green) and Asyut Petrol (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abu Qair Semad | DLLLL | 0.80 | 1.00 | 20% | 10% |
| Asyut Petrol | LLLLD | 0.50 | 1.40 | 30% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 68% | 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.57 |
| Abu Qair Semad Win | 45% | 2.05 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 38% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.