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Pro League · Saudi Arabia
Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 15:25 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Abha host Al-Faisaly FC in the Pro League (Saudi Arabia) on 11 Oct 2026, 15:25 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Abha had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 15. Al-Faisaly FC had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Abha's last 10 and 6 of Al-Faisaly FC's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Abha averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Al-Faisaly FC averaged 1.88 scored and 1.13 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.91 goals from Abha and 1.75 from Al-Faisaly FC. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 56%, against 45%, 26% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Abha (green) and Al-Faisaly FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abha | DLLLD | 0.60 | 1.50 | 50% | 50% |
| Al-Faisaly FC | LDDLD | 1.30 | 1.70 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
| Abha Win | 45% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.